Wooden Hut
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 Publications

Books

 

 

2022.  David S. Siroky, Valery Dzutsati and Lenka Bustikova, Defection Denied: A Study of Civilian Support for Insurgency in Irregular War, Cambridge Elements Series in Experimental Political Science. Cambridge University Press. [link]

 

 

N.d.   Nicholas Sambanis and David S. Siroky, Predicting Secession: Means, Motives and Mobilization, Cambridge Elements Series in Political Economy. Cambridge University Press. (Under contract)   [link]

N.d.   Erin Jenne, Milos Popovic and David S. Siroky, Clients, Rivals and Rogues: Three Logics of Great Power Side-taking in Revolutionary Civil Wars, Cambridge University Press. (Under review)  

Articles

2022.  Christopher W. Hale and David S. Siroky, Irredentism, Ethnicity and Institutions, British Journal of Political Science, tbd

 

 

2022.  David S. Siroky, Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Jean-Francois Ratelle and Milos Popovic, Purifying the Religion: An Analysis of Haram Targeting among Salafi Jihadi Groups, Comparative Politics, 54(3): [link] [pdf]

2022.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, David S. Siroky and Peter Krause, Kin Killing: Why Governments Target Family Members in Insurgency and Why it Works, Security Studies, tbd

2021.  David S. Siroky, Milos Popovic and Nikola Mirilovic, "Unilateral Secession, Great Power Contestation and International Recognition," Journal of Peace Research,  58(5): 1049-1067 [link] [pdf]

 

 

2021.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller, Andre Fazi and Michael Hechter, Containing Nationalism: Culture, Economics and Indirect Rule in Corsica, Comparative Political Studies54(6): 1023-1057. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2021.  Nikola Mirilovic and David S. Siroky, International Recognition, Religion and the Status of Western Sahara, Acta Politica, 56: 548 - 566.  [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  David Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Technocratic Populism in Hybrid Regimes, Politics and Governance, 8(4): 580-589. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  David S. Siroky, Carolyn Warner, Gabrielle Crawford, Anna Berlin and Steven Neuberg, Grievances and Rebellion: Comparing Relative Deprivation and Horizontal Inequality, Conflict Management and Peace Science, 37(6): 694-715. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky, Saud Alashri, and Sultan Alzahari, Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A New Probabilistic Time Series Text Mining Approach, Political Analysis, 28(1): 47-64.  [link] [pdf]

2019.  Giorgi Gvalia, Bidzina Lebanidze and David S. Siroky, Neoclassical Realism and Small States: Systemic Constraints and Domestic Filters in Georgia's Foreign Policy, East European Politics,   35(1): 21-51. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2019.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky, Frankenstein in Grozny: Cracks in the Foundation of Kadyrov's Rule, Europe Asia Journal,   24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2018.  Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky , Joining the Club: Explaining Alliance Preferences in the South Caucasus, Caucasus Survey,   6(3): 252-267. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky and Christopher W. Hale, Inside Irredentism: A Global Empirical Analysis, American Journal of Political Science,   61(1): 117-128. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky, Alan J. Simmons and Giorgi Gvalia, Bourbon or Vodka? Foreign Policy Preferences toward Russia and the US in Georgia, Foreign Policy Analysis, 13(2): 500-518. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  Petra Guasti, David S. Siroky and Daniel Stockemer, Judgment without Justice: On the Efficacy of the European Human Rights Regime, Democratization, 24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, International Recognition and Religion: A Quantitative Analysis of Kosovo's Contested Status, International Interactions, 43(4): 668-687. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Cultural Legacies and Political Preferences: The Failure of Separatism in the Swiss Jura, European Political Science Review, 9(2): 303-327. [link] [pdf]

2016.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Centre-Periphery Bargaining in the Age of Democracy, Swiss Political Science Review, 22(4): 439-453. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov and David S. Siroky, Random or Retributive? Indiscriminate Violence in the Chechen Wars, World Politics, 68(4): 677-712. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  Valery Dzutsati, David S. Siroky and Khasan Dzutsev, The Political Economy of Support for Sharia, Politics and Religion, 9(4): 695-719. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky and Michael Hechter, Ethnicity, Class and Civil War: The Role of Hierarchy, Segmentation and Crosscutting Cleavages, Civil Wars, 18(1): 91-107. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David Muchlinski, David S. Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Kocher, Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data, Political Analysis, 24(1): 87-103. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky, The Sources of Secessionist War: The Interaction of Local Control and Foreign Forces in Post-Soviet Georgia, Caucasus Survey, 4(1): 63-91. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky and Ceyhun Mahmudlu, E Pluribus Unum? Ethnicity, Islam and the Construction of Identity in Azerbaijan, Problems of Post-Communism, 63(2): 94-107. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, The Empire Strikes Back: Ethnicity, Terrain and Indiscriminate Violence in Counterinsurgencies, Social Science Quarterly, 96(3): 807-829. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  Saud Al-Ashri, Sultan Alzahrani, Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky and Hasan Davulcu, What Animates Political Debates? Analyzing Ideological Perspectives between Opposing Parties, Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, (SocialCom-15), Stanford, CA. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, Two States in the Holy Land? International Recognition and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Politics and Religion, 8(2): 263-285. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  David S. Siroky and John Cuffe, Lost Autonomy, Nationalism and Separatism, Comparative Political Studies, 48(1): 3-34. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2014.  David S. Siroky and Hans-Joerg Sigwart, Principle and Prudence: Rousseau on Private Property and Inequality, Polity, 46(3): 381-406. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2014.  Idean Salehyan, David S. Siroky and Reed Wood, External Rebel Sponsorship and Civilian Abuse: A Principal Agent Analysis of Wartime Atrocities, International Organization, 68(3): 633-661. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2013.  David S. Siroky, Valeriy Dzutsev and Michael Hechter, The Differential Demand for Indirect Rule: Evidence from the North Caucasus, Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(3): 268-286. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2013.  Giorgi Gvalia, David S. Siroky, Bidzina Lebanidze and Zurab Iashvili, Thinking Outside the Bloc: Explaining the Foreign Policies of Small States, Security Studies, 22(1): 98-131. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, Rational or Reckless? Georgia's Zugzwang in the Caucasus, Nationalities Papers, 40(3): 303-314. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  David S. Siroky, Each Man for Himself? Rival Theories of Alliance Economics in the Early State System, Defence and Peace Economics, 23(4): 321-330. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  Jason Guss and David S. Siroky, Living with Heterogeneity: Bridging the Ethnic Divide in Bosnia and Beyond, Comparative Sociology, 11(3): 304-324. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2011.  David S. Siroky and Davit Aprasidze, Guns, Roses and Democratization: Huntington's Secret Admirer in the Caucasus, Democratization, 18(6): 1227-1245. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2010.  Davit Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Frozen Transitions and Unfrozen Conflicts, Yale Journal of International Affairs, 5: 121-136.   [link] [pdf]

 

 

2009.  David S. Siroky, Navigating Random Forests and Advances in Algorithmic Modeling, Statistics Surveys, 3: 147-163. [link] [pdf]