Wooden Hut
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 Publications

Books

 

 

2022.  David S. Siroky, Valery Dzutsati and Lenka Bustikova, Defection Denied: A Study of Civilian Support for Insurgency in Irregular War, Cambridge Elements Series in Experimental Political Science. Cambridge University Press. [link]

 

 

N.d.   Nicholas Sambanis and David S. Siroky, Predicting Secession: Means, Motives and Mobilization, Cambridge Elements Series in Political Economy. Cambridge University Press. (Under contract)   [link]

N.d.   Erin Jenne, Milos Popovic and David S. Siroky, Clients, Rivals and Rogues: Three Logics of Great Power Side-taking in Revolutionary Civil Wars, Cambridge University Press. (Under review)  

Articles

2022.  Christopher W. Hale and David S. Siroky, Irredentism, Ethnicity and Institutions, British Journal of Political Science, [link]

2022.  Emil Souleimanov, David S. Siroky and Roberto Colombo, Blood Revenge in Civil War: Proof of Concept, Security Studies, [link, tbd]

 

2022.  David S. Siroky, Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Jean-Francois Ratelle and Milos Popovic, Purifying the Religion: An Analysis of Haram Targeting among Salafi Jihadi Groups, Comparative Politics, 54(3): [link] [pdf]

 

2022.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, David S. Siroky and Peter Krause, Kin Killing: Why Governments Target Family Members in Insurgency and Why it Works, Security Studies, 31(2) [link] [Essay at Modern War Institute, West Point, USA]

 

2021.  David S. Siroky, Milos Popovic and Nikola Mirilovic, "Unilateral Secession, Great Power Contestation and International Recognition," Journal of Peace Research,  58(5): 1049-1067 [link] [pdf]

 

 

2021.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller, Andre Fazi and Michael Hechter, Containing Nationalism: Culture, Economics and Indirect Rule in Corsica, Comparative Political Studies54(6): 1023-1057. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2021.  Nikola Mirilovic and David S. Siroky, International Recognition, Religion and the Status of Western Sahara, Acta Politica, 56: 548 - 566.  [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  David Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Technocratic Populism in Hybrid Regimes, Politics and Governance, 8(4): 580-589. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  David S. Siroky, Carolyn Warner, Gabrielle Crawford, Anna Berlin and Steven Neuberg, Grievances and Rebellion: Comparing Relative Deprivation and Horizontal Inequality, Conflict Management and Peace Science, 37(6): 694-715. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2020.  Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky, Saud Alashri, and Sultan Alzahari, Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A New Probabilistic Time Series Text Mining Approach, Political Analysis, 28(1): 47-64.  [link] [pdf]

2019.  Giorgi Gvalia, Bidzina Lebanidze and David S. Siroky, Neoclassical Realism and Small States: Systemic Constraints and Domestic Filters in Georgia's Foreign Policy, East European Politics,   35(1): 21-51. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2019.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky, Frankenstein in Grozny: Cracks in the Foundation of Kadyrov's Rule, Europe Asia Journal,   24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2018.  Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky , Joining the Club: Explaining Alliance Preferences in the South Caucasus, Caucasus Survey,   6(3): 252-267. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky and Christopher W. Hale, Inside Irredentism: A Global Empirical Analysis, American Journal of Political Science,   61(1): 117-128. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky, Alan J. Simmons and Giorgi Gvalia, Bourbon or Vodka? Foreign Policy Preferences toward Russia and the US in Georgia, Foreign Policy Analysis, 13(2): 500-518. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  Petra Guasti, David S. Siroky and Daniel Stockemer, Judgment without Justice: On the Efficacy of the European Human Rights Regime, Democratization, 24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, International Recognition and Religion: A Quantitative Analysis of Kosovo's Contested Status, International Interactions, 43(4): 668-687. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2017.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Cultural Legacies and Political Preferences: The Failure of Separatism in the Swiss Jura, European Political Science Review, 9(2): 303-327. [link] [pdf]

2016.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Centre-Periphery Bargaining in the Age of Democracy, Swiss Political Science Review, 22(4): 439-453. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov and David S. Siroky, Random or Retributive? Indiscriminate Violence in the Chechen Wars, World Politics, 68(4): 677-712. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  Valery Dzutsati, David S. Siroky and Khasan Dzutsev, The Political Economy of Support for Sharia, Politics and Religion, 9(4): 695-719. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky and Michael Hechter, Ethnicity, Class and Civil War: The Role of Hierarchy, Segmentation and Crosscutting Cleavages, Civil Wars, 18(1): 91-107. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David Muchlinski, David S. Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Kocher, Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data, Political Analysis, 24(1): 87-103. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky, The Sources of Secessionist War: The Interaction of Local Control and Foreign Forces in Post-Soviet Georgia, Caucasus Survey, 4(1): 63-91. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2016.  David S. Siroky and Ceyhun Mahmudlu, E Pluribus Unum? Ethnicity, Islam and the Construction of Identity in Azerbaijan, Problems of Post-Communism, 63(2): 94-107. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, The Empire Strikes Back: Ethnicity, Terrain and Indiscriminate Violence in Counterinsurgencies, Social Science Quarterly, 96(3): 807-829. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  Saud Al-Ashri, Sultan Alzahrani, Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky and Hasan Davulcu, What Animates Political Debates? Analyzing Ideological Perspectives between Opposing Parties, Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, (SocialCom-15), Stanford, CA. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, Two States in the Holy Land? International Recognition and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Politics and Religion, 8(2): 263-285. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2015.  David S. Siroky and John Cuffe, Lost Autonomy, Nationalism and Separatism, Comparative Political Studies, 48(1): 3-34. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2014.  David S. Siroky and Hans-Joerg Sigwart, Principle and Prudence: Rousseau on Private Property and Inequality, Polity, 46(3): 381-406. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2014.  Idean Salehyan, David S. Siroky and Reed Wood, External Rebel Sponsorship and Civilian Abuse: A Principal Agent Analysis of Wartime Atrocities, International Organization, 68(3): 633-661. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2013.  David S. Siroky, Valeriy Dzutsev and Michael Hechter, The Differential Demand for Indirect Rule: Evidence from the North Caucasus, Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(3): 268-286. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2013.  Giorgi Gvalia, David S. Siroky, Bidzina Lebanidze and Zurab Iashvili, Thinking Outside the Bloc: Explaining the Foreign Policies of Small States, Security Studies, 22(1): 98-131. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, Rational or Reckless? Georgia's Zugzwang in the Caucasus, Nationalities Papers, 40(3): 303-314. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  David S. Siroky, Each Man for Himself? Rival Theories of Alliance Economics in the Early State System, Defence and Peace Economics, 23(4): 321-330. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2012.  Jason Guss and David S. Siroky, Living with Heterogeneity: Bridging the Ethnic Divide in Bosnia and Beyond, Comparative Sociology, 11(3): 304-324. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2011.  David S. Siroky and Davit Aprasidze, Guns, Roses and Democratization: Huntington's Secret Admirer in the Caucasus, Democratization, 18(6): 1227-1245. [link] [pdf]

 

 

2010.  Davit Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Frozen Transitions and Unfrozen Conflicts, Yale Journal of International Affairs, 5: 121-136.   [link] [pdf]

 

 

2009.  David S. Siroky, Navigating Random Forests and Advances in Algorithmic Modeling, Statistics Surveys, 3: 147-163. [link] [pdf]